View Single Post
  #2  
Old 11-06-2007, 06:20 PM
DrVanNostrin DrVanNostrin is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: throwing my cards at the dealer
Posts: 656
Default Re: For people who think running it twice changes EV

It's a little more complicated than this. You're assuming that the events are independant. Since cards are not being replaced the events are not independant. For example, if you win the first time there are fewer favorable cards left in the deck, so you're less likely to win the second time. What you've done doesn't show that running it twice doesn't alter the EV. From what I understand it's actually quite difficult to prove that running it twice does not alter the EV.

But yeah, running it twice doesn't change the EV, only the SD.
Reply With Quote