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Old 11-27-2007, 07:58 PM
prodonkey prodonkey is offline
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Join Date: Oct 2006
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Default Re: $10k at the 27s in 1 month challenge

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Why wouldn't you accept a start from scratch bet, if you feel your expected ROI is over 20%?

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1. Im not that confident. A lot of people seem to think that its unlikely, and I take that into account.

2. It commits me to playing a lot longer at the $16s. If I turn out to be good enough to win this bet it would probably be better for me to move up, unless I bet a ton of money (which im scared to do because of #1)


If I get good enough odds I may do it for 500 games from scrathc.

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I think you're missing the biggest point, that no one really gives a [censored] about what you can do in 500 games since it means almost nothing. There is still so much luck involved in 1k that nobody is going to lay you huge odds.
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