[SNOWBALL]

a lot of UTG raisers in your games have a tighter range than this:

Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

376,706,880 games 0.031 secs 12,151,834,838 games/sec

Board:
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 33.161% 30.42% 02.74% 114607800 10313768.00 { KQs }
Hand 1: 66.839% 64.10% 02.74% 241471544 10313768.00 { TT+, AJs+, KQs, AQo+ }

That should be pretty close to your default assumptions. If they are loose raisers, then adjust. If you know nothing about them, don't just say "well maybe he is a loose raiser he could have KTo. I need to take a chance, b/c this could be profitable"
That's totally the wrong way to think about gambling in general. It's a frame of mind that people have when they place a big bet on a basketball game because of a rumor they heard from a dubious source.

Let's give UTG raiser a stupidly loose range (top 20%)


1,595,867,328 games 0.005 secs 319,173,465,600 games/sec

Board:
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 51.647% 49.19% 02.46% 785035824 39189388.00 { KQs }
Hand 1: 48.353% 45.90% 02.46% 732452728 39189388.00 { 66+, A4s+, K7s+, Q9s+, J9s+, T9s, A9o+, KTo+, QTo+, JTo }

You see how loose his range has to be before we become even a SLIGHT favorite? Also, remember that when we hit our hand and get action, it's often not going to be the kind of action we want, because we could easily be dominated and drawing to 3 outs or less.