Re: $60 L4 from bb ep limper
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I don't put EP limpers at lvl 4 on hands. Start him off with any pair, any ace, any suited connector or one gapper, any suited K, any 2 broadway, and a few other random crap hands. Then start hand reading.
He could have AA, he could have a set, he could have an overpair, he could have 77, he could have 65s, he could have T9s. People check sets ALL THE TIME on the scariest boards imaginable. Then of course he's going to smoothcall the FH. You're putting him on the only type of hand he could have, out of many, that this play works against.
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i think you can hand read a bit more, even vs unknown/bad players. it is fine to start off their range as you have (65% or so), but after the flop check and turn check/call i think you can narrow the range a ton.
i only need to get him to fold 40% for this to be a good bluff, and i think i get it over 50% in this siutation.
villians line looks a ton like A6-AJ.
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