[MAA]

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i dont get it, why not play at least 25nl?

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I was actually playing NL25 up to a little bit of NL100(1K hand) and a shot at Nl200 on UB. But then I discovered MoneyBooker and I was getting pissed off at UB BBJ, so I moved 600$

Then, started autopilot 4-6 tabling Nl25 SH ang got pwned and ran below well expectations (basically hit a 300$ downswing). FTP is much more aggro than UB. So everytime I moved up to NL25 I tillted off a BI on like TAG player cr me in rr pot and I move over assuming he is bluffing (this is why AK AQ and Aj are massive loser). Basically I was permatilted b/c of much more agressive player.

So I moved down to 12 tabling FR NL10 b/c it cleared bonus fast and started playing like one hour a day of 2 tables NL25 no more autopilot and pwned them. But the problem is 2 tabling NL25 makes less profit than 12tabling NL10 plus it clears way less of that huge bonus with an end date.

Seriously is my move on the turn good. 2day math class was boring so I figured out my ev for a check is 21$ if I include that 15% of the time I hit I get stacked and the other time I hit I extract 150$ on average. For my bet to be ev=0 (discouted 2 outs b/c of full houses) needed him to fold 48% and to be at least as ev as a check needed a fold 52%. So the question is how much percent of the time does he folds.

He obviously call with full house or a 9, he folds draws and jack, and pocket pair below JJ for sure. I would fold AA,KK and QQ a good amout of time here (even thought I think he 3 bet the flop with them alot), but since he is a cs he call w them good amount of time so what you think turn is spew or genius seriously.