Re: Have I Discovered Another Mathematical Football Coaching Error?
even using the wrong model
assumptions:
-xp pct was way off
-team down late in the game would average 42% on 2 pointers
-team that didn't get the 2 down 8 would still be 42% to convert the second 2 pointer
-team that comes back from 14 down is only 50/50 in OT
-the 2pt conversion rate would remain the same with opposing coaches expecting it more
-going for 2 on the first TD does not have any effect on the probability of scoring a second TD
I don't know how someone who can think logically wouldn't highly question all of those assumptions
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