Re: $25: A summary of newbie ness
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You dont fold but PS says we're 56/43? I believe this hand has huge reverse implied odds, you disagree?
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Given your stack size there's enough in the pot already to make a push +EV.
Hero ($15)
UTG ($18.60)
Flop: ($3) J, T, Q (3 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $2.25, UTG raises to $4.5, SB folds, Hero folds.
You have $11.75 behind - pushing would give you 43% of a £31 pot, leaving you only slightly down on where you were at the start of the hand if you completely ignore fold equity - with FE it leaves you in profit for the hand. Folding is a loss of $3.25.
The poker stove analysis includes every worst case scenario - most of which wouldn't be minraising this flop (unless villain is really really bad). Sets, two pair and straights should be raising to at least 8 or so. This looks a lot more like a draw or AT-AQ/99.
Push.
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