[aislephive]

I think PA's preflop call is much worse than his flop call. Jamie does bluff a lot, but it's usually postflop. He doesn't really reraise lightly. I think PA's flop call is really thin, definitely not an easy call but not a horrible call either, pretty borderline and probably not a huge difference EV wise between calling and folding.

Limon's point is that even when PA hits his gutshot, he isn't always going to stack Jamie. And even when he gets it in against Jamie's set or whatever he isn't always going to win. So it's not quite like he is calling $15k to win $300k every time he hits, or I guess it was closer to $400k. On the other hand he can often win when he hits an ace as well, although he probably won't win much and might end up paying off Jamie more if Jamie actually has a set or two pair.

So many variables to the hand, I think PA's overall play in the hand is mediocre. His turn play is good though, much better than going for a checkraise.