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Old 11-07-2007, 04:23 AM
SABR42 SABR42 is offline
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Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: LAGing it up
Posts: 5,155
Default 400 NL, AKs, fold or shove situation.

Villain is 27/10/1 over 60 hands. No real reads as I'm new to this level.

Poker Stars, $2/$4 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 9 Players
LeggoPoker Hand History Converter

MP2: $388
CO: $181.55
BTN: $467.20
SB: $400
BB: $433.20
UTG: $352
UTG+1: $394
UTG+2: $150.60
Hero (MP1): $1,437.45

Pre-Flop: A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (MP1)
3 folds, <font color="red">Hero raises to $16</font>, 2 folds, <font color="red">BTN raises to $58</font>, 2 folds, Hero calls $42

Flop: ($122) 5[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 3[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 4[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 Players)
Hero checks, <font color="red">BTN bets $80</font>

Basically this is fold or shove, calling sucks.

Pros for shoving:
1) I might force him off the same hand.
2) Backdoor flush draw gives me a few extra percentage points when I'm behind.
3) I'm only in awful shape against AA.

Cons:
1) He's probably not folding anything JJ or better, so I don't have FE vs better hands.
2) Some players check-back their AK/AQ here, so betting might be more weighted towards hands he's snap-calling with.
3) He doesn't seem particularly aggressive, although it's a tiny sample.

I think this is very close.
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