Re: SNG mid-game: opening on the small blind 15 BB
I haven't responded to this (excellent) thread yet because I didn't have anything very interesting to say. That's still true, obv ...
I'm happy shoving all 9, but it might be more +EV to raise instead against villains i and ii. I don't see how to assess this fully without reads on postflop play, and specifically on BvB postflop play. They don't always overpush preflop and we're OOP postflop, so I need a feel for how likely it is I can steal/win a bigger pot or lose/get robbed of a big pot postflop, compared to the value of open-pushing pre.
A simple 5-card match-up post-flop doesn't capture this info, and the 3 card match-up isn't much more helpful without knowing their propensity to float/stack off with different types of hands, plus aggression and bluffiness in BvB spots.
In general, if I'm worried about playing them OOP post-flop, I'm pushing to make life easier.
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