Re: Lots of flop action, overpair + fd + gutshot
When Wazz's flush/straight draw isn't live he's going to be about 5-10% on the flop getting 4:1 so he's going to lose $100-$200 or so calling the flop.
When he is live he's going to be anywhere from 30-40% which would mean folding would cost close to $500 in equity.
$500>$200 so folding is bad without some huge read.
Make sense now?
Obviously it's going to be a tricky spot on the flop if he just calls the raise. If he calls a flop bet and it gets raised behind him it's a pretty clear fold because his opponents have defined their hands much more.
|