Thread: Your action?
View Single Post
  #19  
Old 10-28-2007, 04:56 PM
Apanage Apanage is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Dec 2005
Posts: 958
Default Re: Your action?

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Apanage.


[ QUOTE ]

This is easily offset by the number of times he has a hand that folds to a turn bet but bluffs river and by the times we prevent getting c/r by a flopped flush or a straight.

[/ QUOTE ]

It really comes down to how many non-paired non-heart hands he is bad enough to peel flop with that he still folds to a turn bet with a turn card that can´t be too threatening from his point of view.
I think he has to bluff river well over 50% to make a turn check correct. Maybe he does

Besides that isn´t Stox making an incorrect calculation of the freecard cost in his chapter about the turn value check?
Shouldn´t the bet we lose to villain when he hit his hand be included too (if we assume that villain would fold the turn if we bet)?
I guess I´m the one who is most likely to be wrong.But can you explain to me why we shouldn´t calculate that bet too.
Not because you have written the stuff but because you´re doing more calculations than me on a regular basis.
Reply With Quote