Re: What do line movements tell us?
Smart money moves lines early in the week (Monday) and late (Saturday). All other movements are typically because of square money and minor adjustments. Anytime you see a big move it's the smart money and it's too late!
Lines NORMALLY move in favor of the favs because most players don't have a clue how to pick underdogs!
The line movements you are interested in are pretty small. Nothing from 2.5 to 3 or anything like that.
Books are moving these to cover other lines that are going more then anticipated in the wrong direction.
The real question is as these lines move are you still paying the same -110 for them?
On a side note I'm not playing the game but my DVOA system (39-19 ATS this year - first real betting year)) is saying Houston by -1.5. and my Bridgejumper system (354-218 ATS since 1992) is also picking Houston but not enough to play.
I'd stay away!
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