Re: What do line movements tell us?
Haven't looked at the public betting for the games, but as I've been able to discern, line movements -
- early, mirror action coming from sharps.
- after early line fluctuations, move gradually to balance action.
- if they stay still despite heavy action on one side (like on Detroit at Arizona last week), then the books like their position and that position is so +EV that they are willing to take all bets on that heavily imbalanced and square side.
Usually it's pretty easy to tell what is what from looking at the public betting. I'm probably missing a lot.
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