[Nez477]

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But Sherman, doesn't the fact that we only have the best hand based on the fact that there are TWO cards to come factor in here?

I mean, if a blank hits the turn, which will happen often, we are OOP as a 30% dog

Our equity is based on the actions that happen now, not on further streets yes?

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This is a concept that I am still trying to grapple with.

If we are a favorite on the flop with two cards to come, but become an underdog when the turn blanks, how should we proceed?

I'm not really sure. But my counter-argument to this one (b/c I see this one a lot) is this: What if the turn doesn't blank? What if the turn hits us exactly?

In spots like this I've noticed posters assume the turn is the worst case scenario (a blank) and now we are an underdog. But what if the turn is the best case scenario and now we are huge favorite?

I think the best bet is to proceed on the present street as if you are the favorite to win the hand trying to get as much $ in the pot as possible.

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What I do here is I assume that when I'm making my bet on the flop, that I'm basically committed on the turn, therefore creating a bet into one street into a virtual bet into two.

Barry

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With these stacks this is not possible IMO