Re: 2nd hand of Mulligan AA
This hand is a good example of goals and reasonable expectations.
The appropriate times to massively scale risk on AA are pre-flop and flop. On the turn and river one should be wary of adding variance well outside of a reasonable expectation for unimproved AA.
Skilled dynamic hand readers can argue to death the ratio of hero ahead/behind but that is not how to make a decision in this hand.
Making the call puts your risk/stack ratio well beyond a reasonable expectation for unimproved AA on the river. Even if a slightly +EV opportunity is perceived, it is not a worth it from the standpoint of relative opportunity of stack utility.
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