[AvivaSimplex]

Here are my picks for this weekend's NFL games. I've done absolutely no research, other than watching a lot of football and playing in my fantasy league. It's my hope that these picks will represent the worse-than-average bettor's choices, and thus be a contrary indicator. I've only picked the games where my gut tells me there's an edge.

BUF -3 vs. Miami. Man the Dolphins suck. I know the Bills aren't great, but they're not the black hole of suck that Miami is.

STL +11.5 vs. NO. The Rams also suck horribly, but 11.5 points is a lot.

DAL -1 vs. NYG. Dallas is good, and has already beaten NY. NY is only 6-2 because they've beaten a lot of [censored] teams.

DET +1 vs. ARI. Detroit is actually good this year. Arizona has bad QB problems.

IND -3.5 vs. SD. Seriously, only 3.5?