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Old 11-04-2007, 11:03 PM
TNixon TNixon is offline
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Join Date: Apr 2007
Posts: 616
Default Re: Super extra-de-dooper thin value betting ($50 NLHUSNG)

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What type of hands do you expect to call you here?

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Every single hand that has me beat, as well as every ace, and maybe even some queens if he's convinced I'm just trying to buy it. (I see K, Q, and J-high nothing calls *far* more often than any sane person would ever actually expect to)

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What are the chances he bluff raises you? Do you plan to call a raise?

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He seemed to be mostly the "bet when you check", or "bet out of position with nothing" sort of blufftard, so I don't think a bluff raise on the end is super-likely, especially since I haven't been bluffing a ton, but this sort of opponent is unpredictable enough that it's very tough to really get a concrete idea of how likely it is.

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What are the chances that your read is not right, that he could have some sort of weak pair or something that beats you here?

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I think the chances that he has a weak pair are somewhere in the same neighborhood as a bluff-raise. Not really likely, but certainly within the realm of possibility. One thing I do know for sure is that if he does have me beat, he's going to call.
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