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Old 10-14-2007, 09:56 AM
BigSoonerFan BigSoonerFan is offline
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Join Date: Oct 2004
Location: Augusta National
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Default Re: OFFICIAL NCAAF Rank\'em thread: October 14, 2007

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lol, Boston college is #2 or #3 at worse once the new rankings come out. You guys ranking them 7-10th is funny.

I mean, if they win out, they're most likely in the BCS title game.

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I do not believe that Boston College is one of the top five teams in the country this season, at this point. I'm not attempting to predict where they will be ranked in the official polls (obviously they'll be 2-3 like you say). I think they're overranked, though, and that it's pointless to talk about what will happen *if* they go undefeated because I think they have less than a 5% chance of doing so.

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You think they have less than a 5% chance? Would you like to give me 25-1 on $20 they go undefeated?

BC last 5 games are:

VT on the road.
Florida State at home.
Maryland on the road.
Clemson on the road.
Miami at home.

I think the hardest game will be VT. If they beat VT, I can easily see them going 12-0 and playing for the BCS title.

So how about that wager?

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They have about a 10% chance of going undefeated. They're at best 50% against Virginia Tech on the road and 50% in the title game against Virginia Tech or Virginia. That alone knocks them down to 25%.
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