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Old 11-29-2007, 01:35 AM
DesertCat DesertCat is offline
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Join Date: Aug 2004
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Default Re: ***Official 2007-2008 MLB Offseason Thread***

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What is this Young is really really bad talk? He was a little below average as a 21yo in the bigs. Not only can guys with tools like him take giant leaps forward, they are expected to. Even PECOTA projected a 28 point jump in OPS from age 21-22, which equates to 8 points in EQA. Obviously there is risk that he won't become a superstar, but the chances of him not being at least average over the next five years is on the low side. This is basically the Rays selling low on a five tool 22yo RF after one bad year.

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Delmon Young would be a great five tool prospect if he actually showed any progress in using those tools.

Delmon Young
Year Level OPS
2004 A .922
2005 AA .968
2005 AAA .750
2006 AAA .815
2006 MLB .812
2007 MLB .724

He essentially hasn't improved at all in the last two years. .815 in AAA last year isn't much different than .724 in the majors. The longer he stagnates the less likely it is he'll achieve his upside.
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