Re: PLO8 MTT - Flop Decision Early in Tourney
The numbers meant that he voluntarily played a hand only 20% of the time and raised PF 9%, or about half of the time when he played a hand. That makes his range too wide to assume AA IMO.
Villain raised UTG and then he didn't even think about the c-bet before he popped it. Even if you have AA you have to think about whether the flop hit you. Based on the numbers and a hand I saw earlier I put him on a naked A2 and a draw at best.
If I was right, then he still had half his stack left if he folded. He probably has enough pot equity to call, but he's played tight enough that I might get a fold.
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