Re: I thought we were being friendly
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Fold. You need to be correct almost 50% and a nit pushes 250bb in a tiny pot. Wtf at calling. This is what he does with the nuts because the pot is small anyway and you're deep so he's hoping you'll make retarded call. We should also consider AQ is almost as many combos as all possible sets combined, and his line is more consisent with AQ than a set.
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and your correct more then 50% here vs sets and AQ. Lets asume this is a misclick a small part too, and maybe KJo sometimes too if hes tilting from another table or something. Or it could even be a super retarded played AA so were getting good odds to call.
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My point was that even if he's equally likely to play AQ and KK/JJ/TT/55/33 we're still behind almost 50% of the time. And:
1. He's more likely to play AQ this way on the flop/turn.
2. He's way way more likely to overpush 250bb with the nuts rather than a set.
I wouldn't be suprised if he does this bet on the river with AQ. I think it's quite reasonbale he'll rep something worse by making a gigantic push. I would be very suprised if he would the 3rd nuts (KK) or worse into a bluff with this huge push.
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