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Old 01-05-2007, 06:11 PM
silentbob silentbob is offline
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Join Date: Dec 2005
Posts: 894
Default Re: silentbob\'s NBA chase thread, 12/06

Given that there has only been one "loss" over the last few seasons in the NBA, and given that I've already said that I would pass on the riskier road trips, I would not expect to lose any times.

There are about 50 or so eligible road trips under the system. I'll probably pass on a dozen or so of them, and play several for more than one unit. Which means that in theory, I would end up with a profit of 40 to 50 units (mind you, given the inherent risk of a pseudo-Martingale, the unit size is very small for this system so I'm not exactly making a ton of money here).

But if I did lose once, it would knock me down to a small profit. Losing twice would result in a decent-sized loss. More than that is a minor disaster. But my hope is that passing on risky trips (e.g., 3-gamers, teams on hot streaks, elite Eastern teams to the extent that there are any) will help avoid such an outcome.

Anyway, just to clean up December, the Sixers lost to the Lakers on NYE.

YTD, games: 20-11
YTD, road trips: 20-0, +20 units

New thread for January coming up.
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