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Old 12-01-2007, 03:12 PM
psuasskicker psuasskicker is offline
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Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: More than meets the eye
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Default Re: the proof is in the pudding

Can someone do the math for me on how it could be profitable to lay 3:2 on 60 out of 100 picks? No terms were stipulated, but let's say a normal betting pattern, no passing up slight EV+ to maintain the higher edge. Also assume the tout isn't close to his brag, but that he's an EV0 or EV+ bettor in the 53% win range.

Seems like 3:2 is a lot to lay in such a situation, but I'm frankly too lazy to do the math, but if someone's saying they'll bet $15k on it, I'd at least hope they'd have done some math behind it...

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