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Old 11-06-2007, 06:31 PM
The 13th 4postle The 13th 4postle is offline
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Join Date: Oct 2006
Posts: 378
Default Re: For people who think running it twice changes EV

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It's a little more complicated than this. You're assuming that the events are independant. Since cards are not being replaced the events are not independant. For example, if you win the first time there are fewer favorable cards left in the deck, so you're less likely to win the second time. What you've done doesn't show that running it twice doesn't alter the EV. From what I understand it's actually quite difficult to prove that running it twice does not alter the EV.

But yeah, running it twice doesn't change the EV, only the SD.

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Well I guess I found the shortcut because this will work with any situation.
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