Re: The Wotmog theory
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Well, I think you make a good case that doubling-up early in a 10-player, winner-take-all tournament won't double your $EV; but I don't think this line of thinking carries forward to say a 1000-player tournament with escalating, non-linear payouts.
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I disagree - by the same logic, since the $EV of your starting stack is greater, then everyone else's must be worth (slightly) less on average. It works the same way - what was your argument against it? It was unclear to me what you were trying to say.
I don't think anyone is disagreeing that it is a completely different situation (far greater increase in $EV) when you double-up in the money - but we are talking about doubling up on the 1st hand.
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