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Old 07-05-2007, 04:06 PM
ymu ymu is offline
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Join Date: Aug 2006
Posts: 1,606
Default Re: 27T: Go beyond ICM to make this bubble call?

[ QUOTE ]
The thing is that this has been determined to by a call by many players.
However a REC (Ranged Equity Calculation) says it is a fold.
Is there any extra information anyone could suggest that would make the calculations even slightly more accurate?

[/ QUOTE ]
What sort of extra information do you mean? Calling ranges for our UTG push if we fold this are obviously critical. Then we need reads on how the bubble is likely to play out to estimate how far different from ICM our true EV is:

a read that big stack will try to keep shortie alive, or not;

a read that big stack will open push ATC, or if not his open pushing range (ie will we get any/many pushes other than from UTG);

a read that the bubble will still be playing insanely tight if we get the big stack (seems likely, but depends on how big stack will respond to losing).
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