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Old 11-27-2007, 05:05 PM
CardSharpCook CardSharpCook is offline
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Default Re: is there value in teasing +5.5/6.5 teams 6pts?

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rude, most games are close. I don't have this in front of me, but I imagine if you were to look at a bell curve of final score margin of victory, the most common results would be closer to zero. While you do see spikes at 3 and 7, I imagine that 1,2,4,5,6,8,9 are all more common than 10,11.

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All this data is in the Smart Pro Football Handicapping PDF linked in the FAQ

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OK, looking at page 131. 13 is just as common as 7. Teasing over the 13,14,17 should be more powerful than teasing over 3-7? Or is it that the SD is smaller when the spread is smaller?
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