[Nezzar]

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PartyGirl,

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If he is at all competent he will be randomizing enough to make it pretty much neutral EV for Timex.

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Lol at this. Do u know how hard this is? Do u have any idea?

Dont answer pls.

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...

Nezzar, being completely objective here, Jeff and PartyGirl are pretty much right about this hand...

The only thing I see interesting about it is that it was a large pot and Timex called down. The ace is nearly an irrelevant card at these stakes because good players are jamming TT-KK on the river, too.

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I strongly disagree with the ace being irrelevant. Consider how timex would play A-J. I think he would play it exactly the same. At least i would...

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So you think Zupp checks back QQ and KK because of this?

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No but def. not go allin for slightly more than pot on the river. i think he would try to bet less to get value from a lower pocket. Thats why i exclude any pocket pair (except AA) from zupps range when he goes allin on river.

Edit: i exclude AA also.

edit2: Im not sure about AA. I have to think about some more... so its maybe in his range for now.