View Single Post
  #9  
Old 08-27-2007, 04:00 PM
Sherman Sherman is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: Ph. D. School
Posts: 3,999
Default Re: Final table move (Live)

[ QUOTE ]
For the A6o v 98o debate, thinking in vague concepts about more equity versus this part/less against this part of his range isn't very useful, just pokerstove it! For example:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 26.021% 25.76% 00.26% 344065056 3466062.00 { 98o }
Hand 1: 73.979% 73.72% 00.26% 984599940 3466062.00 { 99+, AQs+, AQo+ }

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 26.216% 25.07% 01.14% 293643420 13405896.00 { A6o }
Hand 1: 73.784% 72.64% 01.14% 850760724 13405896.00 { 99+, AQs+, AQo+ }



[/ QUOTE ]

I love this analysis. People constantly make the mistake of thinking, "I'd rather have a 98o than a weak AXo" because of domination. But people forget 2 things: 1) You are less likely to be against a bigger A if you hold an A. 2) People who will call you with AJ or A9 will also call you with KQ,KT,QJ, hands against which AX is a favorite.

As for the hand, I question how good/solid this tournament villain is. He has 10BBs is in BvB and there are antes. This is a shove with any hand he wishes to play. Unless he is trying to induce a re-steal from you by raising less than a shove, I don't like villain's play.
Reply With Quote