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Old 03-15-2007, 11:41 AM
Str8Fish Str8Fish is offline
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Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: Thesis, jobs, defending, OH MY!
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Default Re: Blind defense gets good, then gets weird

Hands that beat you that are reasonable for him to have:
AQ(16),KT(9),TT(3),A2c-AJc(7),K5c-K9c(3),JT(9),89c(1-if that),Q9c(1) = 49 combinations

Hands that you beat that are reasonable for him to have:
um... air? Honestly I can't think of anything that bluff raises this river. Let's try it this way... how many combinations of air must villain have in order for this call to be correct?

EV=0=-1BB*49/(49+x) + 9.25BB*x/(49+x)

Solving for x... x~5 combinations. I think we can find 5 combinations of SOMETHING that he might have that is air. How about KQ? AT? AJ? Tilt-induced 85?
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