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Old 10-22-2007, 09:32 PM
CruS CruS is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2005
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Default Re: Simple Odds Question

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I think what you're missing is that chance of hitting one of your outs on either street = chance you hit turn + chance you DON'T hit turn AND hit river. You were just adding chance you hit turn and chance you hit river, which leads you to overestimate the probability.

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Would seem logical, but in fact it's not. This has nothing to do with it at all, read my posts again and you will understand. Working with probabilities like this one requires that you use multiplication rather than addition to get the right results.
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