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Old 11-30-2007, 03:49 AM
sethseth sethseth is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2007
Posts: 13
Default Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/29/07 NFL Thursday GAME THREAD (GB @ DAL)***

I loaded up on Dallas -3 -125 second half and I think this was wildly +ev. It was so obvious after the first half that
a) Dallas pass rush was ruining GB and nearly sacking the QB half the time
b) Kampman and GB's defensive line were not bringing pressure
c) TO was thrashing Harris
I did not predict any of these pregame, but I am happy that I recognized the value at halftime. I think Dallas covers this line about 2/3 of the time second half. hell if TO does anything but lateral the ball to GB, the bet doesn't lose, and I think GB was lucky to string together that one TD drive in the 2nd. plays that +ev don't come around that often, I'll bet more units next time.
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