Re: 600 NL, preflop spot with QQ
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IMO, if SABR starts laying down Queens in these spots, he's gonna get OWNED big time.
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This is what I was thinking too. If I opened from UTG and he 3-bet from MP, I'm probably folding.
But I raised from LP, CO called, and he squeezed from the button. With my wide opening range there is no way I can fold here.
The only question is whether to call or to just shove now.
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I did some math
if his calling range is QQ+ AK if you shove, he needs to have 15combos of hands he folds to a shove for it to be breakeven
15combos roughly works out to 1/3rd of the time he's squeezing he's folding
if his calling range is JJ+ AK, pushing is breakeven-ish if he's only squeezing with that range and never air, and +EV if there is any air in there
I think with your image you'll be +EV shoving
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