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Old 11-25-2007, 01:45 PM
Sugar Nut Sugar Nut is offline
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Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 32
Default Re: bottom set - how crazy do you go?

*Grunch*

In my opinion a drawy board shouldn't let you close down, but rather bet more close to PSB, than to let those draws get there cheaply.

I don't think I would fold the river here, but I won't go crazy either. What's he calling with that you beat if you shove here? As there might be a remote possibility that he calls you with a hand like QT, KT, KQ, 64s, I think it is way more likely that, if he calls, he has you crushed with J9, AJ, or even a set of 6's.

Now, if you had posted some stats, we could possibly narrow down his range a bit, maybe excluding AJ, as he (given aggressive stats) would raise this hand from the CO in a limped pot. Or we could extend it (given loose passive stats) to pretty much any trashy two pair (K4, K6)

Since he's an unknown I call here getting better than 3.5:1 and expect it to be a profitable play.

Sugar Nut
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