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Old 11-22-2007, 11:05 PM
Phil153 Phil153 is offline
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Join Date: Oct 2005
Posts: 4,905
Default Re: Insane Beat: Mondo Unlucky

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shouldn't what % equity I had when I got it in not matter considering this is how I ran below what I was expected to run, not below what was breakeven?

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Imagine you got in with 99.9% equity for 1500 hands. Running bad in each hand requires a 1 in 1000 event. Running bad for 10 buyins is practically impossible.

Now imagine you get in with 66% equity for 1500 hands. Running bad in each hand requires a 1 in 3 event.

The deviation (both good and bad) is a lot bigger in the second case.
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