Re: Do you have the balls to fold AA?
Being 35% chance to win in a 3-way pot means you're putting your money in with about a neutral-expectation (33% would be neutral, 35% means you have a tiny advantage here as a best-case scenario.
Let me show you a worst-case scenario:
Hand 0: 04.393% 03.10% 01.29% 6048 2520.00 { AA }
Hand 1: 58.564% 57.27% 01.29% 111708 2520.00 { 54o }
Hand 2: 37.043% 35.75% 01.29% 69732 2520.00 { 88 }
AA is only going to win 4% of the time if we happen to be up against a set and a made straight.
Also note that we are so far behind here, the guy with 88 is in a profitable spot (37% chance to win the pot, having put in only 33% of the money 3-handed). He is in a good spot, because of our dead money, even against a made straight.
|