View Single Post
  #21  
Old 11-27-2007, 08:22 PM
willw9 willw9 is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Nov 2006
Location: where momma keeps the peanut butter
Posts: 4,235
Default Re: Hand from Coaching Session

Yea I'm wrong. I analyzed net change in my calculations, so the $41.75 should be $28.75.

-$3.23 - .355(41.75-28.75) = -$7.845

-$8.64 - .452(13) = -$14.516.

If we weight both assumptions accurately, I'd say the EV is somewhere around -$11.

We were about to fold the turn and I said "wanna do something stupid?" Thought it was a little better than it was though.

FWIW he tanked and called with KK.