[vapourtrail]

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This just isn't a good spot to do it on, IMO.


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so:

air might bet the flop but fold if i bet. in these cases i win an extra bet.

once in a while it will get checked through and a hand that would have folded the flop (such as a low PP, gutshot or As) will spike big on the turn or river

on the other hand,

a king is definately going to be spooked by c/c. i could always lead turn and river if he bets the flop to try to extract here. but i agree that lead flop usually gets more juice out of the Ks

spades might also raise a flop bet. if i check/call flop, he might be inclined to bet again on turn and river, maybe not. for sure if he makes the flush and i then C/R that will also look quite suspicious, but hard to say how far an unknown would be willing to go with it.

seems close to me. one way wins a small amount more a higher percentage of the time, the other way wins big pots once in a while.