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Old 09-18-2007, 01:50 PM
kayaker kayaker is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2004
Posts: 160
Default Re: 25NL: First hand of the Day Tight Fold?

Agree with AceHigh here. First hand, so you have no reads. I like a bigger raise PF here, but I don't think you can say potting it was necessarily bad. I think the Button would have folded a really marginal hand PF, but might have something like ATs. The SB got semi-decent odds to call the PF raise (just shy of 3-1), so he could have a wide range.

On the flop you have a possible pair that beats you, a set looking to push out a flush draw, an OOP flush or OOP FD. With no reads, you can't expect him to be trying to push out the PF raiser. I think you're likely beat here, and certainly are beat enough to make calling -EV.

That said, there is SOME good on the side of raising here. Any K or low flush will quite possibly give it up. I still think folding is the right move, though. (Whatever you do, don't just call. Definitely fold or raise.)
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