Re: NL vs AL Interleague Prop
Anyone else have an opinion on this?
AL vs NL in interleague games - the NL is +157.
I got the NL at +184 a few days back, so I know this line has been coming down.
Here is the NL's all-time IL record:
97 97-117
98 114-110
99 116-135
00 136-115
01 132-120
02 123-129
03 115-137
04 126-125
05 116-136
Total 1075-1124
I happen to think the AL is the superior league (disclaimer: I am a NYY fan). The AL has the powerhouse teams, and also seems to have the most big stars. The AL wins every All-Star game (yes, we should attach negligible importance to this) and has lately been embarassing the NL in the WS. The AL teams also seem to have deeper rosters when it comes to hitters.
However, the NL should have more of an advantage when they play their home games. I just think it hurts the AL teams more when their pitchers have to hit, than when the NL teams must use a guy off the bench to DH when they are away.
Anyway, I still like the NL at +157. The break even point for the bet is the NL having the better record 39% of the time.
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