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Old 11-09-2007, 05:14 PM
RyanCMU RyanCMU is offline
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Join Date: Oct 2005
Location: Folding Split Pots
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Default Re: NL 100 I really, really, really want to call this.

Meh, he open limped CO, I think he would raise KJ/KQ type hands. I mean granted he could have like K8s/K9s, KT, I just think that he also could have 67dd, 78dd, A2dd, A3dd, and he decides to fire the turn w/ his decent combo draw he just picked up, figuring he gets enough folds and when he does get called he is in decent shape. We also could be looking at A5dd, A4dd. As well as 23s. 45s, and 44 and 55.

Of that range, I don't think he is shoving any of the sets of top pair hands on the turn. So after his turn shove I'm putting his range at: 23s, 67s, 78s, A3dd, A2dd, A4dd, A5dd.

Vs that range on this board we have 71% equity [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

However, since he is unknown, we really can't be absolute bout our ranges, so if we widen that range to include 45, 44, 55, KT, KJ. We can see how things get worse, and this sways it to a fold.

Considering his turn action, I think its close, since that just is so batshit wierd. However, with him being unkown and since we can't for sure exclude his TP type hands and sets/2p hands from his range, I think we have to go ahead and fold this on the turn.
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