Re: I hate my options
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...8 to the flop for 16 sbs: K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] J [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 6 [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]
checked to utg who bets, I ????
utg thinks I'm more action than I am, but likely isn't betting into this big a field without top pair, or a pair + draw, or a big decent draw.
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Your goal here isn't to outthink UTG; it's to protect your hand. But the pot's too big to protect with a flop raise. Anybody with any sort of draw has an easy call, even for two bets; there'll be 19 small bets in the pot if you raise.
Your choices:
1) raise now for value. You'll get up to 7-1 return on any money you put in the pot now, and your chances of winning are much better than 1:7.
2) concede the turn card to anyone who has a draw; call and plan to raise the turn to present them with two big bets to stay after that.
I think #2 is the book solution (MS&M) but #1 seems to work pretty well for me. Either way, you're in a very profitable situation.
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