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Old 07-27-2007, 11:55 AM
Proofrock Proofrock is offline
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Join Date: May 2005
Location: Etherized upon a table
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Default Re: Nuts on turn, no redraw -- jam or smooth call? (3/6 live)

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Forget the check-raising.

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I wasn't really being clear -- check-raising is for a safe river, since the Button will almost certainly bet it.

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It would be a disaster, an absolute blunder, if you allowed anyone to out-draw you and possibly take this whole pot away from you with a hand that would have been folded had you bet your own hand in straightforward fashion.

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I think it's pretty unlikely anybody is folding -- they'd be getting better pot odds after I 3-bet and button caps, and they've already cold-called once on the turn. I'd be delighted if either did fold, but I think there's only a 5% chance. But it's inconsequential that they aren't folding, because 3-betting and charging them to draw is better than not.

-J.A.
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