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Old 10-05-2007, 10:06 PM
Troll_Inc Troll_Inc is offline
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Default Re: A modest improvement in winrate estimation after Poker EV..

[ QUOTE ]

So if you're going to draw a conclusion about a player's true win rate using their Sklansky bucks you need to throw in this uncertainty.

I'm not sure of this, but intuitively when you throw this uncertainty into the equation you'll get exactly what you would if you just used win rate and standard deviation. Perhaps someone more knowledgeable than me can confirm or deny this.

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What you say is true in that Sklansky/EV adjustments do have errors. However, what I would counter with is that just because there is flaw with EV adjustments, it doesn't mean that it isn't better than the current winrate/bankroll analysis.

Qualitatively, I will take the mistakes that EV adjustments make on smaller hands vs the large mistakes made when you just use raw data from big bet poker hands.
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