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Old 10-01-2007, 02:18 PM
derosnec derosnec is offline
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Join Date: Oct 2005
Location: mmmmm chickfila
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Default Re: 33$*s NLTRN: Can you resist shoving this river?

i'd bet a smaller amount, just so you'll get called. he doesn't have a straight or flush, because they never check the river when their straight/flush is obvious and there is no A or K on the board. people just don't check raise the river hardly ever at 33s and below, unless it's obvious you have a good hand that they beat (again, like there is AK on the board, etc).

so, if you bet 200 or a little more you'll get called a lot; if you push, then you will rarely get called even by huge stations, because they can see 4 to a straight, they are dumb, but even the dumbest can lay it down here. if he had a decent hand like 2 pair or a good pair, he would have probably would have min-cr'd you somewhere before the river, and then i would have shoved the river perhaps. here he has has some weak pair a lot. (usually a four; maybe a weak eight, but it usually c/rs flop). also i bet turn bigger, like 240 because they will call.
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