[iggymcfly]

POTW: Arizona State -9.5 at Washington State (Risk 2.69u to win 3u)
This line makes no sense to me at all. Arizona State's beaten everyone they've played this season by double digits including two teams better than WSU and WSU's lost by at least 20 every time they've played a BCS opponent, even losing by 21 vs. Wisconsin who couldn't beat the Citadel by more than 14. Sagarin has ASU rated as a 19.5 point favorite.

If that wasn't enough, the matchups are favorable too. WSU's a pure passing team ranking 17th in passing and only 85th rushing the ball and they go up against the 6th best pass efficency defense in the country. Arizona State is also a passing team, leading the Pac-Ten in pass efficiency and only having similar numbers of rush/pass attempts due to the fact they've been playing from in front the entire season. Washington State, meanwhile ranks 111th in pass efficiency defense, barely beating out Stanford for worst in the Pac-Ten.

There's not even worry of a letdown/lookahead game as ASU's coming off a win over Stanford and will be facing Washington next week. The only possible reason to worry here is that ASU's untested on the road and WSU's 2-0 at home. Still though, beating Idaho and SDSU isn't very impressive and WSU's 10-11 home record under Bill Doba going into the year is actually worse than their record on the road. As for the Sun Devils, the one time they did play on the road, they beat Stanford by 38. Also, WSU's been falling so fast since Doba took over that it's very doubtful the first few games this year have been a fluke. All things considered, I see no reason the Sun Devils shouldn't win this game by 20+.