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Old 08-17-2007, 04:48 PM
ddubois ddubois is offline
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Join Date: Jan 2004
Location: Ewa Beach, HI
Posts: 3,647
Default Re: Dumb question about extracting value

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minraise is the most EV

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Are you being facetious? Or are you trying to induce AK/AQ to bluff shove?

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wtf?

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Classic!

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You guys are mocking me like I'm an idiot or hate money. But please, look at my point, and if my logic is wrong, point out the error. This is a discussion forum, ya know?

Board: 5h 9s 8h
Hand 0: 67.121% 66.36% 00.76% 657 7.50 { 9d8d }
Hand 1: 32.879% 32.12% 00.76% 318 7.50 { JdJh }

$430 > (67% of 1156) - (33% of 1156)

So, unless I screwed up and that's not the right way to look at the situation/math, I appear make a tiny bit more money when JJ folds than when we get all-in. Moreover, it's lower variance. The math is roughly the same with flush draws, so I think I do better when they fold than gambling it up. (Admittedly, JhJd is a bit skewed having two backdoors. I climb to 73% equity against black aces, but they call anyway, so it doesn't matter.)
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