Re: NLTRN - A Deceptively Weak Hand
It was 745 more, not 745 total, so the odds I need are ~39.42%.
At first I had planned to call(instantly), but then I realized that most of the hands he would push don't give me very great odds.
I did a little pokerstove and gave him a pushing range of:
77-44,22,Ah9h,Ah8h,Ah7h,Ah5h,A4s,A2s,KhQh,KhJh,KhTh,K h9h,Kh8h,Kh7h,K4s,
QhJh,QhTh,Qh9h,Qh8h,JhTh,Jh9h,74s,64s,54s,52s,42s+ ,32s,54o
Which leaves me just short with ~37.5% equity. This doesn't include bluffs however. And now that I think of it, it doesn't include 53s or 53o, which he could push with also.
So I was slowed down and forced to think a bit when I realized that I wasn't in good shape against a flush draw, an overpair, or a 2, which I felt was a large piece of his range. OTOH, if he had a 4, a straight draw, or a bluff, I'm in good shape. The straight draws add quite a bit of equity to my hand, but I think he's folding 53 preflop a lot.
Anyway, I had to think about this one more than I thought I would have to, so I thought I would post it.
I eventually called. Results in white:
<font color="white"> I called, he flipped over Ks6s, and I blanked out. I was lucky to find out that he's horrible at short stack play though, and eventually won. </font>
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