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Old 08-23-2007, 01:20 PM
Grunch Grunch is offline
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Join Date: Aug 2004
Posts: 9,623
Default Re: flopped a pair+fd

I push here.

Edit: A bit more on this, the push would be sexier if we had TP along with our NFD. But we have what we have. As it is, when we get called there's almost no chance that we're ahead. Even still pushing is +EV because we have quite a lot of equity, and we end up only needing a very small amount of Fold Equity in order for us to be +EV with the push. Calling however leaves us in a Reverse Implied odds situation where we will keep calling off chips with the 2nd best hand pretty often, and when we finally improve we'll get almost nothing more.

Here's something I wrote a while ago about determining how much FE you need to push a draw profitably. It seemed to confuse more people than it helped, but hey it's all I got. [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img] (linky)

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